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气候变化的经济社会影响——连锁效应、多维差异与适应策略

Economic and social impacts of climate change:chain effects,multidimensional disparities,and adaptation strategies
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摘要 气候变化是一个全球性问题,它对地球自然生态和社会经济系统产生了广泛且深远的影响,并重塑了气候资源利益和负担在不同维度的分配格局。已有研究未能系统识别气候变化的连锁效应作用机制,且忽视了代际传递机制、空间外溢效应以及减缓策略不利影响在气候影响多维差异中发挥的作用。文章通过探讨“气候变化-自然生态-经济社会”的作用机制,分析气候影响如何在代际、地区和群体等不同维度加剧不平等性,试图揭示气候影响的复杂性和多维性。基于此,文章特别关注了气候影响与不平等性的深度交织,并引入“气候贫困”这一新议题,探讨如何通过适应策略来破解气候影响、不平等性与消除贫困的消极反馈循环挑战,为制定有效的气候政策提供科学依据。 Climate change is a global issue which has extensive and profound impacts on both the natural ecosystems and socio-economic systems,reshaping the distribution pattern of climate resource benefits and burdens in different dimensions.Existing researches have failed to systematically identify the chain effect mechanisms of climate change,and have neglected the role of intergenerational transmission mechanisms,spatial spillover effects,and the adverse effects of mitigation strategies on the multidimensional disparities of climate impacts.This paper explores the mechanism of"climate change-natural ecology-economy and society"to analyze how climate impacts exacerbate inequality in different dimensions such as the intergenerational,regional and group levels,attempting to reveal the complexity and multidimensionality of climate impacts.Based on this,the paper pays special attention to the deep interweaving of climate impacts and inequality,introducing the new issue of"climate poverty",discussing how to break the challenge of the negative feedback loop of climate impacts,inequality,and poverty eradication through adaptation strategies,and providing a scientific basis for formulating effective climate policies.
作者 李永玲 刘学敏 丛建辉 LI Yongling;LIU Xuemin;CONG Jianhui(Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;School of Economics and Management,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030006,China)
出处 《天津商业大学学报》 2024年第6期17-24,共8页 Journal of Tianjin University of Commerce
关键词 气候影响 多维差异 不平等性 气候贫困 climate impacts multi-dimensional disparities inequality climate poverty
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