云南省农村一二三产业融合发展的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Integrated Development of Primary,Secondary and Tertiary Industries in Rural Areas of Yunnan Province

基于2003—2022年云南省16个(州)市的面板数据,在构建农村一二三产业融合发展评价指标体系的基础上,采用赫芬达尔—赫希曼指数、灰色关联度和熵值法,测算了云南省农村一二三产业融合发展水平,结果表明:(1)云南省农村第一产业融合发展整体处于中高水平,但考察期内处于波动下降趋势;(2)云南省各区域农村第一产业融合发展不平衡,表现为滇西北>滇南>滇西>滇中>滇东北的区域分布格局;(3)云南省各州(市)农村第一产业融合发展差异较明显,仅有普洱市和迪庆州的融合发展水平较高;(4)云南省农村一二三产业融合发展整体水平中偏高,且考察期内处于平稳上升趋势。农业产业链延伸、农业多功能拓展、农业服务业融合发展、融合发展经济效应和融合发展社会效应等5个子系统均表现出不同程度的增长趋势。因此,云南省应通过延伸农业产业链条、加强农业科技创新、完善利益联结机制等,不断促进农业内部产业融合重组、夯实农业科技人才支撑、激发富民增收动能,从而推动云南省农村一二三产业融合发展。

Based on panel data from 16 cities(prefectures)in Yunnan Province from 2003 to 2022,and on the basis of constructing an evaluation index system for the integrated development of the primary,secondary and tertiary industries in rural areas,the Herfindahl-Hirschman index,grey correlation degree and entropy method were used to measure the level of integrated development of the primary,secondary and tertiary industries in rural areas of Yunnan Province.The results showed that:(1)the overall level of integrated development of the primary industry in rural areas of Yunnan Province was at a medium to high level,but it was in a fluctuating downward trend during the investigation period.(2)The integrated development of rural primary industry in various regions of Yunnan Province is unbalanced,presenting a regional pattern of northwest Yunnan>south Yunnan>west Yunnan>central Yunnan>northeast Yunnan.(3)There are significant differences in the integrated development of the primary industry in rural areas among various states(cities)in Yunnan Province,with only Pu’er City and Diqing Prefecture having a higher level of integrated development.(4)The overall level of integrated development of the primary,secondary,and tertiary industries in rural areas of Yunnan Province is relatively high,and it is on a steady upward trend during the inspection period.The five subsystems of agricultural industry chain extension,agricultural multifunctional expansion,integrated development of agricultural service industry,economic effects of integrated development and social effects of integrated development have all shown varying degrees of growth trends.Yunnan Province should continuously promote the integration and restructuring of internal agricultural industries,consolidate the support of agricultural technology talents,and stimulate the momentum of enriching the people and increasing income by extending the agricultural industry chain,strengthening agricultural scientific and technological innovation,and improving the mechanism of interest linkage,in order to promote the integrated development of primary,secondary and tertiary industries in rural areas throughout Yunnan Province.