医疗后送行动模拟仿真与量化分析——以赫尔松地区争夺作战为例

Simulation and quantitative analysis of medical evacuation operations:taking battles in the Kherson region as an example

目的以乌克兰危机中俄乌双方围绕赫尔松地区争夺作战为主要研究对象,探讨模拟仿真技术对卫勤保障方案制定与保障效果评估作用。方法基于互联网公开数据分析构想俄军减员及医疗后送路线,运用计算机模拟方法对俄军战时医疗后送情况进行模拟,并对结果进行量化分析。结果按照不同医疗后送路线独立运行和合并运行两种模式,分别得出俄军野战医院、后送医院、基地医院三级救治机构救治时效、伤员后送时效、伤员伤死等量化指标。结论通过构建多条相互平行、互为备份的后送路线,能够提高伤员医疗后送效率,降低伤死率,同时保证伤员后送的相对安全稳定。

Objective To investigate the applicability of simulation technology in the development of medical support plans and the evaluation of their effectiveness by focusing on the combat operations between Russian and Ukrainian forces over the Kherson region.Methods The casualties and medical evacuation routes of Russian military troops were conceptualized based on publicly available data from the Internet.Computer simulation methods were used to model the wartime medical evacuation by Russian troops and the results were quantitatively analyzed.Results Based on independent operations and combined operations of different medical evacuation routes,quantitative indicators such as treatment efficiency at three levels(field hospitals,evacuation hospitals,and base hospitals),evacuation efficiency,and casualties were obtained.Conclusion By constructing multiple parallel and backup evacuation routes,the efficiency of medical evacuation can be improved,with casualties reduced,and the relative safety and stability of evacuation ensured.