代理人的呼吁:组织模式与武装组织游说

The Voice of the Proxy:Organizational Patterns and Lobbying of Non-State Armed Groups

代理人战争已成为破坏国际和平与稳定的重要因素,其中作为代理人的非国家武装组织构成了值得研究的关键对象。分析非国家武装组织在代理人战争中的游说行为,能够在一定程度上呈现非国家武装组织与其外部支持方的互动关系,并从中管窥非国家武装组织对国际社会输出影响的动力机制。作者以非国家武装组织的游说活跃度为对象,重点分析了代理人战争背景下非国家武装组织的组织模式对其游说活跃度的影响路径与机制。组织模式由内部整合与专业分工两个维度组成,整合度更高且具有分工组织模式的武装组织能够保持游说主体的稳定性并持续挖掘游说资源,从而实现更为活跃的对外游说。内部整合影响了游说活动在主体与叙事层面的稳定性,在此基础上专业分工能够促成游说内容的持续生成和游说渠道的有效运营。武装组织在组织模式层面的表现构成了其在面对外部冲击时维持游说活跃度的动力机制。通过对叙利亚危机中不同武装组织对美国游说的案例比较与数据分析,可以初步验证这一假说。

International peace is increasingly threatened by proxy wars,often fueled by non-state armed groups acting as proxies.Studying the lobbying behavior of these groups can shed light on their relationship with external supporters and the reasons behind their influence on the global community.In this paper,we delve into the lobbying activity of armed groups in proxy wars,specifically examining how their organizational patterns impact their lobbying efforts.By analyzing two dimensions(internal integration and division of labor),we aim to understand how these groups are able to maintain stable lobbying entities and effectively utilize resources to actively lobby for their cause.Internal integration plays a crucial role in stabilizing both the actor and narrative levels of lobbying activities,while division of labor allows for continuous generation of lobbying content and effective operation of channels.Ultimately,an armed group's organizational performance is the key factor in maintaining lobbying activity amidst changing circumstances in a proxy war.To validate our theoretical hypotheses,we conduct a comparative case analysis of the Free Syrian Army and Syrian Democratic Forces lobbying efforts in the United States during the Syrian crisis using data analysis tools.