老龄化、子代联系与农业绿色生产技术采纳——来自中国黄河流域的调研证据

Aging,intergenerational contact,and adoption of agricultural green production technology:Evidence from the Yellow River Basin in China

针对中国农业绿色转型过程中遭遇的两大挑战-农业老龄化和农业绿色技术采纳困难,从子代关系的视角深入剖析了老年农户采纳农业绿色生产技术的行为模式。利用Ordered Probit模型、中介效应模型和调节效应模型,对黄河流域451户老年农户的绿色生产技术采纳行为进行了系统分析。研究结果表明:老龄化对农业绿色生产技术的采纳具有显著的消极作用。子代提供的经济支持、生活照料均有助于推动老龄农户农业绿色生产技术的采纳。进一步分析发现,子代经济支持通过缓解资金困境促进了绿色生产技术采纳,生活照料可以通过绿色生态环境认知、绿色社会责任认知和绿色技术效益认知促进了绿色生产技术采纳。此外,子代分化对农业绿色生产技术的采纳具有负向影响,但这一影响主要集中在深度老龄化的农户群体中。基于上述发现,研究建议应充分发挥家庭内部经济支持和生活照料的积极作用,鼓励家庭成员间形成更为合理的照料分工机制。同时,加强农村家庭教育和文化传承,促进家庭成员间的有效沟通和相互理解,以减轻子代分化对绿色生产技术采纳带来的潜在负面影响,从而为中国农业的可持续发展提供有力支持。

Addressing the two major challenges faced during China's agricultural green transformation process:agricultural aging and difficulties in adopting agricultural green technologies,this study analyzes the behavior patterns of elderly farmers in adopting green production technologies from the perspective of intergenerational relationships.Using the Ordered Probit model,mediating effect model,and moderating effect model,the study systematically analyzes the adoption behavior of 451 elderly farmers in the Yellow River Basin regarding agricultural green production technologies.The results show that aging has a significant negative impact on the adoption of agricultural green production technologies.Economic support and daily care provided by their progeny are conducive to promoting the adoption of green production technologies by elderly farmers.Further analysis reveals that economic support provided by the the progeny alleviates financial difficulties and promotes the adoption of green production technologies,while daily care promotes the adoption of green production technologies through green ecological environment cognition,green social responsibility cognition,and green technology benefit cognition.Moreover,intergenerational differentiation has a negative impact on the adoption of agricultural green production technologies,but this impact is mainly concentrated in the deeply aged farmer group.Based on these findings,this study suggests that the positive role of economic support and daily care within the family should be fully leveraged,and that family members should form a more reasonable care allocation mechanism.At the same time,efforts should be made to strengthen rural family education and cultural inheritance to promote effective communication and mutual understanding among family members,in order to mitigate the potential negative impact of intergenerational differentiation on the adoption of green production technologies and provide strong support for the sustainable development of China's agriculture.