自适应过滤法及其在预测邮电业务量中的应用

Self-adaptive method and its application in forecasting telephone traffic

阐述了自适应过滤法的计算方法,并将其运用于预测邮电业务量。由于用自适应过滤法进行预测,权值的选择具有自适应性,因而能得到较好的预测值。结果表明此方法比一般常规方法优越,具有很大的实用价值。

The calculating manner of self adaptive forecasting method is described and applied to forecasting the telephone service traffic. Weight-select ion utilizing this forecasting method bears the inherent merit of self-adaptation, thus the better forecasting value is obtained. The result shows that its better than other method usually used and has a much larger value to practise.