人口转变论的进一步思考

Value Analysis of the Course of Demographic Transition

本文从个体与国家对人口再生产的双重价值取向入手 ,探讨人口转变的历史本质及其与人类现代化进程的关系 ,归纳中国人口转变的独特模式。指出一定生产方式下个体对生育价值取向的转变是人口转变的关键 ,国家价值取向支配下的生育政策是实现人口转变的手段 ,但它与人口转变的本质是分离的。提出仅有统计指标是不够的 ,可结合现代化标准来衡量人口转变的完成。

Based on double value-orientation of individual and nation to population reproduction, the paper discusses the historical essence of demographic transition and its inner relation with man's modernization course Transition of individual value-orientation to fertility under certain mode of production is key of demographic transition Fertility policy under national value-orientation can be used to achieve demographic transition But two of them are separate in essence It's not enough only by demographic index Maybe standards of modernization are good selections