中东北非伊斯兰政党的发展及对中国的影响

The Develop of lslamic Parties of Middle-East and North Africa and the Influence on China

中东地区伊斯兰政党的崛起与发展有着复杂的历史成因和过程。伊斯兰教不单是一种政治意识形态,还是一种特殊的社会组织和社会力量。这种力量往往在历史变革的关键时刻发挥重大作用。目前,伊斯兰政治力量已经对所在国、地区及国际三个层面产生了巨大影响,影响着中东局势的稳定与发展。虽然中东北非地区的政治伊斯兰运动自“阿拉伯之春”崛起后又陷入低潮,但由于受历史与内外部因素综合影响,政治伊斯兰的动能在低位盘整积蓄力量后,未来仍可能实现反转突破。由于秉持现实主义原则和温和妥协的理念,伊斯兰政党的上台对中国的海外利益保护、“新丝绸之路经济带”建设以及向西开放战略等不会造成较大影响,但有可能在未来对中国穆斯林聚居地区产生映射效应,需要予以重视并采取相应对策。

The rise and development of the Islamic parties in the Middle-East have complicated historical causes and gone through different paths.Islam is not only a political ideology,but also a special social structure as well as a community power,which has made decisive impacts during the critical moments throughout the historical revolution.Nowadays,Islamic political power has largely affected its local countries,regions and the international community,especially the stability and development of the Middle-East dynamics.Even though the Islamic political activities in the Middle-East and North Africa has fallen into an ebb after the Arab Spring,considering the historical issues and the conditions inside and outside the regions,momentum of the Islamic politics can have an abrupt burst after this dormancy.Because of their realism policy and the moderate compromising ideology,the assumption of power of the Islamic political parties will not do harm to China in the protection of overseas interests,the construction of new Silk-Road economic belt,and the strategy of opening up to the West.However,it can have mapping effect in the Muslim communities in China in the future,which should be dealt with seriously.