俄罗斯进口替代政策:实施效果与发展前景

Russia’s Import Substitution Policy: Effects of Implementation and Prospects for Development

本文论证了俄罗斯在地缘政治压力不断上升、西方制裁不断加强的背景下减少对进口依赖的迫切性,从理论和实践角度分析了进口替代政策是强化国家安全的重要手段,从正反两个方面评价了俄罗斯2014~2017年进口替代政策的实施效果。本文揭示了区域经济发展新概念——'进口替代产业集群潜能'的本质特征,并从专业角度评估了俄罗斯未来应如何挖掘各地区的进口替代产业集群潜能。最后,就国家应如何支持培育和挖掘进口替代产业集群建设和潜能提出了相关建议构想。

This paper demonstrates the urgency of Russias’reducing dependence on imports in the context of rising geopolitical pressure and increasing Western sanctions.It is proposed that import substitution policy is an important means to strengthen national security.The effects of Russia’s import substitution policy in 2014-2017 is evaluated from both the positive and the negative aspect.The paper reveals the essential characteristics of'the potential of import substitution industry clusters',a new concept of regional economic development,and explores how Russia should tap the potential in various regions in the future.Finally,suggestions are made on how the country should support the cultivation and development of the potential of import substitution industry clusters.