非均岩石高温岩体地热开发经济效能分析

Economic Efficiency Analysis of HDR Geothermal Development in Heterogeneous Rock Mass

非均岩石高温岩体是3千米、温度300℃的地下深处的高温岩石,研究非均岩石高温岩体地热开发经济产能,通过构建地热开发经济效能经济指数预测模型,分析产能和开发成本的关系,为非均岩石高温岩体地热开发提供数据参考。非均岩石高温岩体地热开发的效能分析是一个多参量约束的博弈模型,需要从勘探难度和勘探费等方面出发计算非均岩石高温岩体地热开发的成本,从环境保护的经济收益上进行效能博弈。提出一种基于多参量互相关的合作博弈的非均岩石高温岩体地热开发经济效能分析模型,首先分析非均岩石高温岩体地的地质构造和地热开发的流程,然后进行了非均岩石高温岩体地地热开发的经济效能影响参量分析,采用多参量互相关的合作博弈方法进行经济效能定量分析模型构建。通过数据分析和仿真实验,实现了非均岩石高温岩体地热开发经济效能分析定量分析和性能评估,为进行相关工程实践提供了理论参考和数学模型指导。

HDR(Hot Dry Rock) of the heterogeneous rock is some kind of high temperature rock buried 3 kilometers deep under the ground, with temperature of 300℃.The study of the economic efficiency of HDR geothermal development in heterogeneous rock mass needs construction of a economic index prediction model of the economic efficiency of geothermal development, through analysis of the relationship between the productivity and the development cost, it aims to provide data reference for the heterogeneous rock HDR geothermal development. Performance analysis of heterogeneous rock HDR geothermal development is regarded as a game model with multi parameter constraints, and the calculation of the cost of heterogeneous rock HDR geothermal development needs to be done from the perspectives of the difficulty and the cost of the exploration, and the game of performance is often conducted around the economic benefits of environmental protection. An economic efficiency analysis model of the heterogeneous rock HDR geothermal development is put forward based on the cooperative game of multi-parameter cross correlation, firstly analysis is made against the geological structure of the heterogeneous rock HDR and its geothermal development process, then analysis of the influencing parameters of the economic efficiency of the heterogeneous rock HDR geothermal development is carried out, finally the quantitative analysis model of economic efficiency is constructed adopting the cooperative game method of multi-parameter cross correlation. Through data analysis and simulation experiments, the quantitative analysis and performance evaluation of the economic efficiency of the heterogeneous rock HDR geothermal development are realized, thus to provide theoretical reference and mathematical model guidance for engineering practice.