试证新疆金融发展与经济增长的关系

新疆金融行业的目前发展状况很大程度上也牵制了新疆的发展,分析新疆区域金融发展与经济增长问题具有十分重要的理论与现实意义。本文运用数量经济方法,在单整和协整检验的基础上,利用误差修正模型(ECM)及Granger因果检验对新疆地区金融发展与经济增长的内在联系进行实证分析,认为新疆的金融发展与经济增长不仅存在正向促进关系,而且存在Granger意义上的因果关系。在此基础上本文结合新疆实际,对新疆金融业发展提出了相应的政策建议。

The Xinjiang finance profession present development condition also restrains the development of Xinjiang to a great extent,analyzing the Xinjiang region finance development and the economical growth question has the extremely important theory and practical significance.This article utilizes the quantity economic method,on the base of Co integration test,and the writer establishes economic models and uses error correction model(EMC) to identify the positive relation between the finance development and economic growth of Xinjiang.This article links to the Xinjiang reality put forwards the relevant policy proposal to the financial industry development of Xinjiang.