从非稳态出发探讨影响经济增长的因素——一个基于索洛模型的分析

在大多数模型化的经济增长理论中,首先考察的是经济如何达到长期均衡,然后分析一旦经济偏离了均衡增长将如何运行,是否能够重新收敛于长期均衡点。因此遵循"均衡—偏离均衡—均衡"的分析思路。而在现实生活中,我们所观察到的多是非充分就业下的非均衡的复杂经济状况。本文试图在索洛增长模型的基础上,在非充分就业环境的假定下探讨经济增长以及与之相关的经济运行问题。并且部分地尝试用其解释我国目前的经济运行情况。

In majority simulated economic growth theories,what first inspects is how the economy to achieve long-term balanced,then analysis,once how the economy will deviate the equilibrium growth to move,whether could restrain in the long-term point of equilibrium.Therefore follows 'the balanced-deviation balanced-balanced'analysis mentality.But in the real life,under the multi-right and wrong full employment non-balanced complex financial circumstance which we observe.This article attempts in the Solow growth model foundation,discusses the economic growth as well as with it related economy operational problems under the non-full employment environment's hypothesis.And attempts partially with it explains our country present economy operational aspect.