中日安全困境:一个过度解读的现实?

The Sino-Japanese Security Dilemma:An Over-interpreted Reality?

中日之间是否存在着严重的"安全困境"问题?如从军事层面进行观察,无论从军事力量,还是从军事使用意图来看,中日之间的安全困境并不明显。此外,中日两国在经济结构上的强互补性以及美国在中日关系中所扮演的平衡者角色,更是大大减低了双方之间安全困境恶化的可能性。因此,"中日安全困境"只是一个被"过分夸大的现实"。这种论断对于我们预判中日关系未来走向和发展趋势,在战略设计上采取更加具有针对性的政策处理与日本的关系,甚至是充分利用好这段"周边战略机遇期"以获得更大的发展空间,都具有重要的意义。

Is the 'security dilemma'between China and Japan a serious issue?If we observe at the military level,the security dilemma between China and Japan is not obvious in terms of both military strength and the intentions of military use. In addition,the strong complementarity in Sino- Japanese economic structures,as well as the balancer role played by the United States in Sino- Japanese relations,even greatly reduces the possibility of deteriorating security dilemma between the two countries.Therefore,the 'security dilemma between China and Japan'is just an 'over exaggerated reality'. This argument is of great significance for us to predict the future direction and the trends of Sino- Japanese relations,take a more targeted policies in thestrategic design to deal with relations with Japan,and even take a full advantage of this'window of opportunity for the peripheral strategy'to get bigger space for development.