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贝叶斯公式在突发性聋预后分级判断中的应用

CLASSFIED PROGNOSTIC JUDGEMENT OF SUDDEN DEAFNESS AS DEDUCED BY BAYES’FORMULA(ABSTRACT)
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摘要 影响突聋预后的因素很多,为寻找一个较完善的预后判断方法,本文在分析99例(122耳)临床资料的基础上发现:1.除既往文献所报道的影响因素外,发病耳数、既往突聋史及发病状态三项因素对预后亦有较大影响;2.应用贝叶斯公式判别分级预后,组内验证准确率为73.9%,组外验证准确率为76%;3.不同的治疗方法未能改变突聋的预后。 In order to explore a satisfactory method of judging the prognosis ofsudden deafness with multiplex facsors, we statisticsed datas of 99patients (122 ears) with sudden deafness, and judged the prognosis ofit by Bayes' formula. The results are: 1) Except traditional factors,there are three factors affecting the prognosis of sudden deafness, i. e.,number of suffering ears (unilateral or bilateral); special onset: havingor not sudden deafness history in past. 2) The result showed thatcorrect in 90 ears (73.994) inside the group of 122 ears (99 patients).and in 19 ears (76. 0%) outside the group of 25 ears (21 patients) withnew onset. 3). Different treatment method can not change the prognosisof sudden deafness. The Bayes' formula is a useful method in theprognostic judgement of sudden deafness.
出处 《大连医学院学报》 1992年第3期30-33,共4页
关键词 预后 贝叶期公式 耳聋 突发性耳聋 sudden deafness prognosis Bayes' formula
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