巴西世界杯前世界足坛格局的研究

Research on the World Soccer Pattern before the Brazil World Cup

以1974年起历届世界杯的前四名运动成绩分布特征为依据,确定6个足球强国:德国、意大利、巴西、荷兰、阿根廷、法国;随后对传统强国的足球风格、技战术打法特征以及世界各大洲足球的实力进行了分析、比较.结果表明:在即将举行的巴西世界杯上,欧美足球传统强国依旧是巴西世界杯夺标大热门,这是世界足球长久以来的两极格局;随着亚非拉北美足球不断积累经验,增厚底蕴,打破欧洲诸强和巴西、阿根廷在世界足球格局中形成的鼎足局面是有可能的,但全面抗衡欧美足球强国、成为世界足球第三极还为时尚早.

Based on the athletic performance of the top four countries in the World Cups since 1974,six top soccer powers were identified:Germany,Italy,Brazil,Netherlands,Argentina,and France. Comparative analysis of the style,technical and tactical characteristics and the strength of the top powers were conducted.Results showed,in the upcoming World Cup in Brazil,these six top powers remain the favorite of World Cup Championship,which is the Europe-South America bipolar structure of world soccer has had in a long time.As Asia,Africa and Latin America continue to accumulate experience and thicken heritage,breaking the current bipolar structure of world soccer is possible,but for them to have the full power to compete against Europe and South America top powers and become the third pole of the world soccer is still too early.