摘要
电力负荷预测是电力系统调度、用电、计划和规划等管理部门的重要工作。本文采用模糊推理预测方法进行负荷预测的研究 ,该方法是基于模糊聚类对输入变量进行有效模糊划分 ,并通过递推最小二乘辨识模糊模型的结论参数。采用该方法对某供电企业电力系统进行建模研究 ,取得了满意的效果。
Electric load forecasting is an important work of power system to adjust,electing,plan and layout.This paper adopts a fuzzy inference forecasting method to research load forecasting.Based on fuzzy clustering,this method effectively plot out input data,and via recursive least square identified fuzzy modeling conclusion parameter The proposed model is tested using date of Hangang power system while load forecasts with satisfying accuracy are reported.
出处
《机床电器》
2002年第6期42-44,共3页
Machine Tool Electric Apparatus
关键词
电力系统
模糊聚类
递推最小二乘
负荷预测
Electric power system Fuzzy clustering
Recursive least square
Load forecasting