入世后人民币汇率走势分析

Analysis of the Future Tendency of the Exchange Rate of RMB after China's Entry into WTO

入世后人民币汇率的未来走势是大家非常关注的问题。影响货币汇率波动的因素 ,主要包括国际收支、经济增长率、通货膨胀率、利率水平、政府干预及其它因素。综合考虑目前国内、国际经济形势及我国货币政策的长远目标 ,在入世后的一段时期内 ,除非十分特殊的原因 ,人民币汇率仍将保持坚挺状态。

Great attention has been paid to the future tendency of the exchange rate of RMB after China's entry into WTO.The factors that influence the exchange rate fluctuation include balance of payments,economic growth,inflation,interest rate,government intervention,and so on.Considering the present economic situation both at home and abroad,together with China's long-term goal of monetary policy,we think that except for special reasons the exchange rate of RMB will still be stable in the near future after China's entry into WTO.