我国政府或有财政风险分析

The Analysis of Contingent Fiscal Risk About China

我国政府实施积极财政政策以来,国债规模日益宠大,引起了人们对未来财政稳定的担忧。未被重视的政府或有负债由于其隐蔽性才是我国财政面临的最重要的风险,因此除考虑直接、显性的国债风险外,更应关注隐性的、或有的财政风险。

The scale of public debt had become larger since the active fiscal policies. People felt uneasy about the future stability of finance. But it is not the most serious risk in finance. The implicit, contingent risks had more threatening than direct, explicit risks. So we should concern implicit, contingent risk except for direct, explicit risk.