我国服务业增加值的核算问题

On Estimation of Value added of service sector in China

本文集中讨论我国服务业增加值估算中存在的问题。由于历史原因和服务业本身的一些特点 ,我国现价服务业增加值被严重地低估了 ,服务业增长率计算也可能存在着偏差。对服务业增加值的以往研究均受到基础数据的限制而未能根本地解决这些问题。服务业统计核算的缺陷严重地阻碍着经济分析和经济决策。因此 ,改善我国服务业统计核算是当务之急。从长远的角度来说 ,服务业增加值核算的改善在很大程度上取决于统计调查的完善。但是 ,在现有的条件下 ,仍然有很大的改善余地。

This paper focus on estimation of value added of service sector in China.Value added of service sector in China has been significantly underestimated due to historical reason and some special characteristics of the sector.And growth rate of service sector's value added is more likely biased.Pervious works made attempt to re-estimate valued added of service sector,however,without exception,faced constraint of basic data required.The shortcoming of estimate of service sector's value added seriously harms any economic analysis and policy making that makes use of estimate of service sector.In the long run,better estimate of service sector's value added in China mainly depends on improvement of statistics and surveys that designed to record many aspects of service sector,under current condition,however,we still have a large room to improve estimates of service sector's value added.