地区养老发展差异下的中央调剂金收付研究

Research on the Central Adjustment and Payment of Regional Pension Development Differences

在对全国各省市2018—2030年的中央调剂金制度实施下养老资金的上解、拨付额度进行测算后,经由因子、聚类分析后得出以下结论:地方经济基础在较大程度上决定着地区养老金整体运行状况的优劣,在中央调基金制度实施后并不会获得较为明显的改善,但调剂金制度的实施能够有效地缩小地区间养老金制度运行差异,从而提出包括建立差别化的基础养老金调剂制度等能够有效均衡地区养老发展差距的相关建议。

After calculating the amount of pension settlement and allocation under the implementnent of the central adjustment fund system in all provinces and municipalities from 2018 to 2030,and after factor analysis and cluster analysis,the following conclusions can be drawn:to a large extent,the local economic foundation determines the overall performance of the regional pension system.Due to the influence of the local economic foundation,the overall operation of the regional pension fund will not be improved significantly after the implementation of the central pension fund system.However,the implementation of the central pension system narrow the differences in the operation of the regional pension system.Accordingly,some suggestions are put forward,including the establishment of a differentiated basic pension central allocation system,which can further narrow the differences in pension development among regions.