河北省旅游业发展与经济增长的关联性研究

The Correlation Analysis Between Tourism Development and Economic Growth of Hebei

选取2000-2013年河北省旅游及经济数据,排除价格水平变动等因素对研究的影响,运用SPSS软件对数据进行回归分析。结果显示,旅游外汇收入(TRR)、旅游收入(TR)与地区生产总值(GDP)呈线性正相关,且旅游收入与地区GDP的线性正相关更为显著;预测结果为旅游收入每增加1%,地区GDP约增长1.65%;旅游经济的增长对地区GDP的带动作用不断强化。在此基础上提出了创造河北旅游品牌、"一带三区"布局、关注网络信息,促进入境旅游、整合旅游企业等建议,以期促进河北省旅游产业的发展,加快河北省产业结构调整的步伐,推动河北省经济持续快速发展。

This paper uses SPSS software River,according to Hebei tourism statistical data from 2000 to 2013,excluding the impact of changes in price levels and other factors on the study,regression analysis of data. The results show,tourism foreign exchange earnings,between tourism income and regional GDP is a linear positive correlation and linear tourism income and regional GDP is more significant positive correlation between predicted results for the total tourism revenue increased by 1%regional GDP growth of about 1.65%. Tourism Economy GDP growth in the leading role of the region continued to strengthen.Based on the results of the regression analysis,the proposed creation of Hebei tourism brand, 'along three areas' layout,attention network information, promote inbound tourism,tourism enterprises to integrate the recommendations,in order to promote the development of tourism industry in Hebei Province,Hebei Province to speed up the pace of industrial restructuring to promote sustained and rapid economic development.