协整理论在江苏电力市场分析预测中的应用研究

A research for co-integration theory used in power market predicting in Jiangsu Province

围绕经济因素对电力指标的影响程度,参照国内外经济发展相对超前的省市及国家电力市场需求发展轨迹,综合考虑产业结构调整对经济产生的影响,运用国际上发展较为成熟的"协整理论",对江苏省经济发展及电力市场走势进行推论性预测,为电网公司制定合理的市场发展规划战略,持续提升效率效益服务。

This paper focused on influences of economic factors for Jiangsu power market. One of mature theories,cointegration theory,was used to analyze the power market tendency according to economic development. The research would make comprehensive consideration for economic level in related countries and industrial restructuring in Jiangsu. Power market predicting results are likely to assist Grid setting up development strategies,enhancing efficiency and effectiveness of services.