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人口增长、就业压力与社会经济发展——对全国第五次人口普查数据的分析 被引量:3

Population growth,the Pressure of Employment and the Development of Society and Economy:An Anlysis of the Data of the Fifth National Population Census
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摘要 对全国第五次人口普查数据的分析表明:湖南省人口总量大;人口年龄结构正由稳定型向减少型过渡;人口文化素质偏低;劳动力市场在未来15年中平均每年将增加23.57万人的供给量;劳动力资源利用比较充分;失业状况比较严峻;失业率的变化受年龄影响明显;隐性失业已成为一个严重的社会问题;在业人口的就业结构不太合理;产业结构出现了明显的地区差异;总量性脱节与结构性脱节的共同作用加剧了湖南省的失业问题。因此,解决就业问题,是湖南省社会经济发展的一项长期任务。要妥善处理好人口增长、就业压力与社会经济发展之间的关系,就必须加大产业结构转换力度,大力发展劳动密集型工业;积极发展第三产业;适度超前发展教育;广泛开辟就业门路。 The fifth national population census shows that the population of Hunan province is fairly large,theat the age structure of the population is transittinga from steady state to a decrease state,that the cultural quality of the population is low and tha the average annual increase of labour force will be 235,700,000 people market of Hunan in the coming 15 years.It also shows that the labour resources of Hunan are fairly fully utilized,that the situation of umemployment is serious,that the variation of the rate of unemployment is obviously influencd by age,that the invisible unemployment has become a serious social problem,that the present employment structure is not,that the reasonable industry structure apparently manifests district disparity and that the total disjointment and structure disjointment jointly make the unemployment problem even more serious.Therefore,the solution to the unemployment problem is a longterm task in the development of society and economy Hunan Province.To handle the relationship of population growth,the pressure of employment and the development of society and economy,we should strengthen the transformation of industry structure,redouble our exertions efforts to develop labour concentrated industry,take vigorous measures to develop the third industry,develop education moderately ahead of time and open up every possible employment opportunity.
出处 《湖南师范大学社会科学学报》 北大核心 2003年第1期48-53,58,共7页 Journal of Social Science of Hunan Normal University
基金 湖南省人口普查资料课题 人普办函字[2001]11号
关键词 人口增长 就业压力 社会经济发展 劳动力供给自然增量 population growth the pressure of employment the development of society and economy the natural increment of labour force
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  • 1[2]H*钱纳里,S*鲁宾逊,M*赛尔昆.工业化和经济增长的比较研究[M].上海:三联书店,1989.

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