摘要
文章首先界定了区域承载力的内涵,分析了区域承载力与海洋产业集聚的关系,构建复合系统区域承载力计量模型测算区域承载力,并选用区位熵测度各海洋产业的集聚水平,进而运用灰色综合分析和Pearson关联模型相结合的方法研究了2000-2012年天津区域承载力与海洋产业集聚水平的动态效应。通过研究证实:初级阶段的海洋产业集聚对区域承载力具有抑制效应,二者呈负相关关系;中级阶段和高级阶段的海洋产业集聚对于区域承载力具有刺激效应,二者呈正相关关系。
The connotation of regional ecological carrying capacity was defined and the relation be-tween regional carrying capacity and marine industrial agglomeration was analyzed in this paper. A regional carrying capacity measurement model of compound system was then constructed for the quantitative analysis of regional ecological carrying capacity.The agglomeration level of each marine industry was measured by adopting the location quotient.Furthermore,the dynamic effect of regional carrying capacity and marine industrial agglomeration during 2000 to 2012 of Tianjin was studied by utilizing gray comprehensive analysis and Pearson related coefficient.The results showed that the primary stage of the marine industries agglomeration with regional carrying ca-pacity is negative correlation,but with the intermediate stage and advanced stage are positive cor-relations.
出处
《海洋开发与管理》
2016年第1期27-32,共6页
Ocean Development and Management
基金
海洋公益性行业科研专项经费项目子任务"基于生态系统的区划实施效果评价技术与辅助决策系统开发(201505001-5)"
国家海洋局海域管理技术重点实验室开放基金项目"海域集约利用评价及潜力预测技术研究(201506)"
中国海洋发展研究会重点项目"我国新一轮海洋功能区划生态环境目标实施效果评估(CAMAZD201504)"
关键词
沿海区域
复合系统区域承载力
海洋产业集聚
灰色综合分析
动态效应
Coastal area
Ecological carrying capacity of compound systems
Marine industrial agglomeration
Gray comprehensive analysis
dynamic effect
