中美贸易战博弈分析

Game Analysis of Sino-US Trade War

最近以特朗普为首的美国政府执意采取贸易保护措施,悍然发动对中国的贸易战,引起了国内和国际社会的广泛关注。此贸易战是典型的单边主义与贸易保护主义行径,其表面上似乎是中美对抗,但其本质是美国公然破坏全球生产网络及肆意践踏当前国际经贸规则体系。为了有效应对中美贸易摩擦,从斗鸡博弈视角深入分析中美贸易摩擦,可以看出中美贸易摩擦从经济上是中美双方利益的博弈,而且在中美双方整体贸易实力、贸易结构、科技水平、知识产权法律制度环境等方面的非对称情况下,博弈参与者的收益发生了变化,弱者必将做出更大妥协。中美双方博弈中,美国无疑占据主动地位,但是中国也要审时度势积极应对。斗鸡博弈结果再次证明坚持贸易战只会两败俱伤,只有妥协和合作才是最佳解决路径。

The Quasigovernment led by Trump recently insisted on adopting trade protection measures and suddenly launched a trade war against China, which has aroused widespread attention from the domestic and international community. This trade war is typical of unilateralism and trade protectionism. It appears to be a confrontation between China and the United States on the surface,but its essence is that the United States openly undermines the global production network and arbitrarily tramples on the current international economic and trade rule system. In order to effectively deal with trade frictions between China and the United States,an indepth analysis of trade frictions between China and the United States from the perspective of cockfighting can be seen that China-US trade friction is economically the game between China and the United States, but also in the overall trade strength, trade structure, and technology between China and the United States. In the case of asymmetry in terms of the level,intellectual property,legal system,and environment, the benefits of game participants have changed,and the weaker will definitely make greater compromises. In the game between China and the United States, the United States undoubtedly occupies an active position,but China must also actively respond to the situation. The results of the cockfighting game once again prove that insisting on a trade war will only hurt both sides,only compromise and cooperation will be the best solution.