长三角产业结构升级税负因素研究

The Impact of Tax Burden on Upgrading the Industrial Structure in the Yangtze River Delta

长三角地区作为我国经济发展的中坚力量,承担着加快和引导产业结构升级的重任,以及对其他欠发达地区改变经济增长方式起到示范作用。目前长三角地区经济结构依然有待调整,主要承受着来自发达国家的产业创新优势以及落后地区低劳动力成本的后发优势双重压力。本文运用2008-2016年长三角地区25个地级市面板数据,检验宏观总税负、流转税税负以及所得税税负对其产业结构升级的影响效果。实证结果表明,长三角地区总税负和所得税税负对产业结构升级呈显著抑制作用,流转税税负无显著影响。据此,提出税收政策改革方案。

As the backbone of China’s economic development,the Yangtze River Delta regionguides and accelerates the upgrading of industrial structure,which is considered as a role model for other less-developed regions in changing the mode of economic growth.However,it calls for the Yangtze River Delta region to adjust its economic structure,since it is experiencing dual pressure from both developed countries and less developed regions in China.It is known that developed countries enjoy industrial innovation advantages,and what’s more,less developed regions have cheaper labor.The paper studies 25 prefecture-level cities in the 2008-2016 Yangtze River Delta region,and examines the impact of total tax burden,turnover tax burden and income tax burden on upgrading of industrial structure.We find that the total tax burden and income tax burden in the Yangtze River Delta region have significant inhibitory effect on upgrading industrial structure,and the turnover tax burden has no significant effect.At the end,we propose some suggestions about tax reform.