“一带一路”视域下山东省海陆经济关联性分析

An analysis of the correlation of land and sea economic development in Shandong province under the sight of the “One Belt and One Road”

基于2001～2015年山东省海陆经济数据对其海陆经济之间的关系进行Granger检验,得出二者之间存在一定的因果关系;并通过灰色关联分析法对山东省2001～2015年海洋经济和陆域三次产业之间的关系进行分析,得出山东省海洋经济与陆域第二产业相关性最强,然后是陆域第三产业,较弱的是陆域第一产业;总结山东省沿海七市海洋经济发展状况和海陆经济关系,得出山东省沿海七市的海陆经济关系模式主要有海陆并兴型和海陆偏移型两种模式。其中,青岛、潍坊和威海属于海陆并兴型沿海城市,烟台、日照、东营和滨州属于海陆偏移型沿海城市。在海陆偏移型沿海城市中,烟台和日照属于海洋经济主导型,而东营和滨州属于陆域经济主导型。

Based on the economic data of land and sea in Shandong Province from 2001 to 2015,the paper analyzes and tests the relationship between land and sea economy.Granger test was conducted on the relationship between land and sea economy in Shandong province,then drawing the conclusion that there is a certain causal relationship between them.And the paper analyzes the relationship between marine economy and land-based three industries in Shandong province from 2001 to 2015 through gray relational analysis,then drawing the conclusion that Shandong province,marine economy Shandong province has the strongest correlation with the land-based secondary industry,followed by the tertiary industry of the land,and finally the first industry of the land. Finally,the paper summarizes the marine economic development of coastal cities in Shandong province and the economic relationship between land and sea,and draws the economic model of land and sea in seven cities along the coast of Shandong province.There are two economic models of land and sea that the land and sea simultaneously development,sea and land migration type in seven cities along the coast of Shandong province. Among them,Qingdao,Weifang and Weihai belong to land and sea simultaneously development. Yantai,Rizhao,Dongying and Binzhou belong to the sea and land migration type. In the sea and land migration type cities,Yantai and Rizhao belong to the marine economy dominated.However,Dongying and Binzhou belong to the land economy dominated.