摘要
基于陕西省人口、耕地与粮食系统现状的分析,采用Logistic曲线预测未来10a该省人口、耕地资源、粮食诸因子的变化趋势,测算出不同人均粮食消费水平下的人口承载量。并分析了系统不平衡的原由及存在的问题,提出了对策性战略措施。
The current concerning of the populations, cultivated land resource, and the grain system in Shaanxi province are analyzed. The tendencies of the populations, cultivated land, and the grain etc in the coming 10 years are forecasted by means of Logistics' curve. The bearing capacity of population under the different average consumption level of grain is calculated. The cause and problem of existence the system disequilibria are analyzed, and the strategic countermeasures are finally put forward.
出处
《水土保持通报》
CSCD
北大核心
2002年第6期32-36,共5页
Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation
基金
陕西省教育厅自然科学资助项目(99JK128)
