摘要
首次提出将瑞利（Rayleigh）分布模型用于预测油气田产量和可采储量。模型的参数C是最高产量发生的时间tm，油气田的可采储量等于最高年产量与其发生时间乘积的1.6487倍。该模型与其它模型相比，无待定常数，不需要复杂的数学运算，只要给出正确的油气田最高年产量与其发生时间，即可方便、快速、准确地计算可采储量和预测递减期的年产量。通过我国两个油田的实际应用表明，该模型在进行油田规划配产、计算可采储量方面具有较强的实用性。
The author firstly proposes Rayleigh distribution model that could be applied to forecasting production and reserves of oil-gas fields. Three characteristics of the model are developed. The paper offers two kinds of method for solving the model. The model has the characteristic of simpler and faster solution than other model,which doesn't require sophistical mathematical calculation. We can forecast production and reserves of oil-gas fields. so long as providing accurate and valid production peak and its corresponding time. Two examples to illustrate this method are given.
出处
《中国海上油气（地质）》
1996年第2期101-105,共5页
China Offshore Oil and Gas(Geology)
