中国宏观经济形势与政策:2002—2003年

CHINA MACRO-ECONOMIC SITUATION AND POLICY: 2002-2003

我国在2002年继续实行积极的财政政策,并且适当强化稳健货币政策的扩张倾向。2002年我国GDP预计增长7.86％以上,将明显高于2001年,总体经济景气能够在2003年承续2002年扩张趋势,从而实现从经济萧条到经济繁荣的经济周期形态的转换。随着顺应经济全球化而加入WTO,我国经济发展模式将从二元经济结构转向三元经济结构。在市场化的经济体制支持下和均衡化的经济政策维护下,我国经济仍然能够保持相对快速增长。“十五”计划时期与“十一五”计划时期,我国实际GDP年均增长速度有可能接近8％。

In 2002, Chinese government still applies active fiscal policy and strengthens duly the monetary policy. China GDP will be 7.8% by estimated, which is clearly higher than that in 2001. In 2003, the whole e-conomy will maintain the expansionary trend and switch from economic depression to prosperity. With Chinese entering WTO, the pattern of Chinese economic development will transform from dual-economy to tri-economy. Under the marketization system and the balanced economic policy, high economic growth can still be seen. During the period of the 10th and 11th five-year plan, Chinese annual growth rate of real GDP will likely be nearly 8%.