摘要
水环境系统的不确定性主要包括随机性、模糊性和灰色性。考虑到水环境系统的这种性质,将模糊数学方法和随机方法同时运用到水质受污染或严重污染的风险性研究中,即分别用模糊综合评价法和马尔可夫链法先对水质污染状况进行评价,然后对水污染的变化趋势的风险进行预测。通过实例计算表明该方法是可行的,这为水资源的管理和科学利用提供了一种新方法。
The uncertain nature of water environment system mainly includes randomness ,fuzziness and grayness. The authors consider this nature and apply fuzzy mathematics and random method in the risk research of water quality pollution.First, The method of fuzzy comprehensive assessment and method of Markov chain has been used to make an assessment in water pollution ,then forecast the risk of change trend of water pollution. Example proved this method is feasible ,and offer a view method for management and scientific using of water resource.
出处
《吉林大学学报（地球科学版）》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2003年第1期59-62,共4页
Journal of Jilin University：Earth Science Edition
基金
吉林省科技发展计划资助项目(20010589)
