回采生产计划决策支持系统的产量预测模型

The Output Forcast Model of Decision Support System for Mining Production Plan

介绍了回采生产计划决策支持系统中采用的产量预测模型。在计划编制和决策之前 ,利用时间序列的滑动平均法和指数平滑法可以提高回采工作面的产量预测精确度 ,把预测的产量数据经过决策模型决策后作为计划编制时回采工作面的产量依据 。

The application of output forcast model in the decision support system for mining production plan is described.Before scheduling and decision-making,using the time sequential averaging method and index smoothing method can improve the output forcast accuracy of stoping face.The forcasted output data when decided by the decision-making model can be used as the basis of stoping output in scheduling so as to raise the correctness and practicality of the decision-making and scheduling of production.