摘要
本文根据灰色系统理论,结合实例,给出了如何建立描述矿井开采深度与瓦斯涌出量之间动态关系的数学模型,并用BASIC语言编写了计算机程序,进行了预测.实例表明,采用灰色系统理论,根据本矿井已有的瓦斯涌出量的数据信息,建立的瓦斯涌出量的预测方法,进行计算机预测,与实际误差较小,满足工程设计要求.
Based on the theory of the grey system, this paper gives the mathematical model that describes the moving relation between the depth of a mine tapped and the pouring capacity of the gas by an example. The computer programme has been worked out with the BASIC language and the forecast has been made as well. According to the data information of the poring capacity of the gas already being in the mine, the established method to forecast the capacity of the gas with computers using the grey system theory is reliable because errors made are less, thus meeting the demands Of engineering design.
关键词
瓦斯
预测
误差
涌出量
矿井
grey system
established model, gas
forecast
error
