统计预报方法中若干技术问题的对比分析

Contrast Analysis of Some Technical Problems in Statistical Forecast Method

通过对线性和非线性、判别—回归和门限—回归、插值、距离和相似等预报方法的对比,分析了各种方法的特点及各自的局限性,井就如何改进统计预报方法提出相关建议。

Based on the contrast of statistical forecast methods such as linear and nonlinear, discrimination -regression and threshold - regression, interpolation, distance and similar. The paper provide some suggestions improving statistical forecast method by analyzing their characteristic and localization.