可持续发展的人口承载能力模型

Population carrying capacity model based on sustainable development strategy

为了分析人口承载能力与区域发展的内在联系,该文基于可持续发展理论,对区域人口承载能力进行了综合分析研究,提出了人口承载能力综合分析模型以及人口承载能力评价指标和方法,对模型的构架和关键算法进行了详细的介绍,并利用这种方法对黄河中游陕西省铜川市的可持续发展与人口控制策略进行了初步分析。结果表明,这种人口承载能力研究的理论和方法涵盖内容丰富,可操作性强,对区域经济社会的可持续发展具有一定的科学指导意义。

A model was developed to analyze the population carrying capacity based on the strategy of sustainable development to investigate the relationship between population carrying capacity and regional development. In the model, the framework, criterias and key arithmetics are presented in detail. The model was used to analyze the sustainable development of Tongchuan, Shanxi province, China, located in the middle reaches of the Yellow River. The method includes information of population, resources, ecnomic and so on, so it provides scientific guidance to the sustainable development of a regional economy.