不确定性军事冲突模式预测的数学方法

The Math Method of Forecast under Uncertainty in The Military Conflict Mode

本文在模糊集上研究了不确定性军事冲突态势的变化模式 ,即 Nash协商对策模式、协调模式、谈判偏好模式、谈判让步模式和战争模式 ;探讨了不同模式下对应的 Nash均衡域、协商域、偏好域、代价域和冲突域的数学意义 ,给出了不同模式下解确定的数学方法 ,从定量的角度实现了对军事冲突模式的判断和预测 .

In this paper, we studied differ variety of mode for the military conflict state under uncertainty in the fuzzy sets, namely the mode of Nash arrange game, the mode of harmonize, the mode of negotiate individuality, the mode to give negotiate and the mode of battle. We analyzed the meaning about the geometry and the math on the mode of differ variety for Nash Balanced field,the field of harmonize,the field of individuality,the field of gain and loss,the field of conflict. We provide the math method to solve about the mode of differ variety, we realization to judge and to forecast in the military conflict mode by the quantitative method.