泛珠三角区域经济与物流耦合协调演变与空间差异

Coupling Synergy Evolution and Spatial Difference of Pan-Pearl River Delta Regional Economy and Logistics

以2006年~2015年泛珠江三角洲内地9省面板数据为基础,从区域经济与物流的内部作用机理出发,构建基于序参量的区域经济子系统与区域物流子系统的耦合协同度模型,对区域内的经济与物流发展耦合协同度进行定量研究。结果表明:基于时序视角的泛珠三角区域经济与物流耦合协调度呈倒“U”型,在2012年协调度达到最大值;基于空间视角的耦合协调度存在层次异质性且自东部沿海省份向西部内陆省份递减,耦合协调度的“马太效应”明显;区域内超过80%的省份经济与物流耦合协调度具有十分明显的空间锁定及路径依赖性。最后从区域间战略协同、物流资源投入以及物流供需平衡等方面提出建议。

Based on the provincial panel data in 9 provinces of pan-pearl river delta region from 2006 to2015, this paper starts from the internal action mechanism of regional economy and logistics, establishes the regional economic sub-system based on order parameter and its coupling synergy degree, and makes quantitative study on the coupling synergy degree of economic and logistics development. The results reveal that the coupling synergy degree of pan-pearl river delta regional economy and logistics based on the perspective of time sequence show reverse "U"type, and synergy degree reaches the maximum in 2012; the coupling synergy degree base on the spatial perspective has hierarchical heterogeneity and declines progressively from Northeast coastal provinces to Western inland provinces, and the "The Matthew Effect"of coupling synergy degree is obvious; more than80% provincial economic and logistics coupling synergy degree has significant spatial lock and path dependency.This paper finally puts forward suggestions from the inter-region strategic synergy, logistics resource input and logistics demand and supply balance.