后金融危机时代传统工业城市转型与规划应对——基于绍兴的实证

Transformation of the Traditional Industrial Cities and Urban Planning Responses in Post-financial Crisis Era: A Case Study of Shaoxing

后金融危机时代,中国沿海发达地区的传统工业城市正陆续进入转型发展的新常态。“危”、“机”交织的市场环境与主动调控的产业治理环境,共同构成了城市转型的“压缩”语境,也是理解当前传统工业城市转型特殊性的重要线索。文章从理论上建构了传统工业城市转型的机制特征:以产业转型为目标,由市场与政府共同驱动;推动产业转型的过程也将引发城市发展模式的系统性转型,并导致产业—人口—用地规模变化的加速脱耦。以绍兴为实证对象,分析了产业转型的双轮动力以及城市系统的响应过程,指出城市规划的理论与实践创新均需关注城市转型的新变革语境,基于城市转型的机制特征,理清产业转型的战略方向,调整人地对应的管控方式,建构精明有序的转型路径和常态监测的评估方法。

After post-financial crisis, traditional industrial cities in the developed coastal areas of China are gradually entering the new normal of transformation and development(known as Xinchangtai). The market and industrial governance environments are the clue to understand the particularity of this transformation and both constitute the"compressed"context of urban transformation. In theory, this article summarizes the transformation mechanism of traditional industrial cities is aiming at urban transformation and driven by the market and the state together. Industrial transformation will trigger the systematic restructuring of cities, and accelerate decoupling relationships among industry,population and land. Taking Shaoxing as a case study, this paper analyzes the two driving forces of industrial transformation and the responses of urban system. Its theoretical and practical innovation should focus on the emerging urban transformation. Based on the identified characteristics, planners should correctly select the strategic direction of industrial development, adjust the control mode of constructive land scale based on urban population size, and establish a smart and orderly transformation path and the evaluation methods of routine monitoring.