电子商务对城乡商贸流通一体化的影响效应研究——基于中国省级面板数据的分析

A Study on the Impact of E-commerce on the Integration of Urban and Rural Commerce and Trade Distribution:Based on the Analysis of Chinese Provincial Panel Data

本文在构建测度电子商务发展程度、城乡商贸流通一体化指标体系的基础上,应用因子分析法对全国31个省级区域2010—2016年的电子商务发展程度、城乡商贸流通一体化水平进行了综合测度。根据计算结果,本文采用面板数据模型对电子商务影响城乡商贸流通一体化的效应分别从全国层面和分类层面进行了实证分析。研究发现,在全国范围内,电子商务对城乡商贸流通一体化呈现显著的促进作用;而在电子商务发展水平分别为高、中、低的三类地区,只有在电子商务发展水平较高的地区,电子商务对促进城乡商贸流通一体化才具有显著的正向影响。

Based on the construction of measuring the development degree of e-commerce and the integration index system of urban and rural commerce and trade distribution, this paper uses factor analysis method to measure the degree of e-commerce development and the integration level of urban and rural commerce and trade distribution in 31 provincial-level regions in China from 2010-2016. According to the calculation results, this paper uses the panel data model to empirically analyze the effects of e-commerce on the integration of urban and rural commerce and trade distribution from the national level and the classification level.The study finds that e-commerce has played a significant role in promoting the integration of urban and rural commerce and trade distribution across the country. In the three regions where the level of e-commerce development is high, medium and low, only in areas with high levels of e-commerce development, E-commerce has a significant positive impact on promoting the integration of urban and rural commerce and trade distribution.