中国产业结构优化度的时序演变和区域差异分析

Analysis on the time-serial evolution and regional difference of the optimization of China's industrial structure

以2012年不变价格测度各省市的产业结构合理度和高度化值,建立合理化度-高度化值评判矩阵并进行区域划分,得出的结论是:中国产业结构合理化水平是不断向好的,但是离标准模型还有差距;同时,产业高度值一直是递增的。中国产业结构优化值呈现"总体上分异、区域内聚类发展"的特征。需要依靠技术进步、提高劳动者素质、因地制宜选择产业发展路径,以及建设产业平台,寻求产业结构合理化和高度化"并驾齐驱"的冯·诺依曼路径。

We use the unchanged prices in 2012 to measure the rationality and height value of industrial structure of various provinces and cities, set up the evaluation matrix of rationality—height value to divide regions, and draw the conclusions that: the rationality level of China's industrial structure tend to be better continuously, but it is far from the standard model; and meanwhile, industrial height value is increasing progressively. The optimization value of China's industrial structure shows the feature of'general divergence and clustering development inside regions'. It is necessary to rely on technological advance, improve the quality of labors, choose the development path of industrial development according to local conditions, set up industrial platform, and seek John von Neumann's path of'putting emphasis on both'the rationality and height value of industrial structure.