摘要
经济全球化形势下国家经济发展战略的制定,必须以准确的市场分析与把握为前提。依据市场占有率和增长率的双指标组合,构建出一个能综合定量描述区域经济市场竞争格局的动态模型,据此将区域经济市场划分为明星市场、金牛市场、幼童市场和瘦狗市场四种类型。应用这一模型,以2000年人均GDP数据为依据,对世界5大地区61个国家的经济发展竞争态势进行定量计算和分析,对新世纪世界区域经济发展进行趋势模拟和预测。
In the process of globalization,it must be based on precise market analysis to make national development strategies because the economic system is the open system with constantly change in a gradual process. According to two index of market occupancy and growth rates, in this paper, a mathematical model of economic market competition state and its transference have been put forward. Using this model, regional economic market is compartmentalized into 4 types as: star-market, golden-ox market, child-market and thin-dog market. And also, applying this model, development levels of 61 countries in the world are culculated with trend prediction in the end.
出处
《世界地理研究》
2002年第4期18-25,共8页
World Regional Studies
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(49571027)
陕西省自然科学基金资助项目(2000D02)
