抚松县一参场经济生态系统总体发展战略动态仿真模型

A DYNAMIC EMULATION MODEL ON THE OVERALL DEVELOPING STRATEGY OF ECONOMY ECOLOGY SYSTEM FOR THE FIRST GINSENG PLANTATION IN FUSONG COUNTY

运用J.W.福莱斯特的动态仿真模型(SD)为抚松县一参场的经营管理者建立一个“战略与决策实验室”在实验模拟中通过A、B、C三种信息反馈环模式的控制,使一参场的人参生态经济大系统从战略上和策略上得以调控。并对四种战略方案作了仿真计算,分析结果选择了第一方案,作为战略目标决策实施方案。

A laboratory of strategic decision was created for manager of the First Ginseng Plantation in Fusong County with J. W. Fulast's dynamic emulation model. In the experimental simulation, the ginseng ecology economy system was regulated strategically and tactically using, A、B and C, three information feedback models. And emulation calculation was made for four strategic plans. Through analysis, the first plan was chosen as an implementation plan of strategic objective.