经济史与经济政策

Economic History and Economic Policy

分析家和决策者们在2008-2009年间广为关注"历史教训",尤其是将当时的状况与20世纪30年代大萧条初期进行类比,以求探明此次全球经济危机的来龙去脉。本文立足于认知科学成果和外交决策文献,力求解读与大萧条的历史类比所造成的影响,并探究该类比是如何既塑造人们观念,又左右政策响应的。本文还探讨了历史学术界该如何加强组织,更好地服务于经济决策。结论部分则反映了本次危机会如何重塑经济史的研究。

'The lessons of history' were widely invoked in 2008/2009 as analysts and policymakers sought to make sense of the global financial crisis. Specifically, analogies with the early stages of the Great Depression of the 1930s were widely drawn. Building on work in cognitive science and literature on foreign policy making, this article seeks to account for the influence of this particular historical analogy and asks how it shaped both perceptions and the economic policy response. It asks how historical scholarship might be better organized to inform the process of economic policymaking. It concludes with some reflections on how research in economic history will be reshaped by the crisis.