摘要
2015年初以来国际原油市场风起云涌,4月份起底反弹,涨幅超过20%,市场对美国原油供给减少的预期、美联储延迟加息使美元走软是支撑此轮油价大反弹的主要因素。从长期来看,原油价格近期的上涨更可能是短期行为,原油尚未转入牛市周期,今年有较大概率在50-75美元/桶之间波动。
Expectations of a declining of U.S. crude oil supply and delayed interest-rate rise have driven oil prices 20% higher since April. The sharp advance does not constitute a bull market, and is more likely a reflection of short-term trading behavior. Oil prices are expected to fluctuate between $50 and $75 per barrel this year.
出处
《金融市场研究》
2015年第5期71-82,共12页
Financial Market Research
关键词
原油价格
原油产量
策略
市场展望
crude oil prices,oil production,strategy,market forecasting
