基于MCMC方法的公路客运量贝叶斯AR(p)分析

Bayesian AR(p) analysis of highway passenger volume based on the MCMC method

通过实证数据仿真分析来说明运用Win BUGS软件建模的分析过程。结果表明,以MCMC为基础的Win BUGS软件简化了贝叶斯AR(p)模型的实际应用。

The application of Win BUGS software modeling and analysis process is illustrate by empirical data simulation analysis. The results show that the MCMC- based Win BUGS software simplifies the practical application of the Bayesian AR( p) model.