我国省域高等教育与新型工业化耦合协调格局及其影响因素分析

Spatial Pattern and Influencing Factors of the Coupled Coordination Degree of Provincial Higher Education and New Industrialization in China

基于2003—2012年数据的研究表明,我国各省域高等教育综合评价值呈现增长趋势且与新型工业化耦合协调有所优化,但高等教育和新型工业化耦合协调度指数仍存在显著的空间不均衡,中度失调和严重失调的省域占据多数。内部影响因素分析表明,高校科研水平和区域大专及以上学历人口占6岁以上人口比重对新型工业化影响最为显著,新型工业化下属指标对高等教育的影响相对均衡。空间计量结果则显示,空间互动状态下人口城市化、交通基础设施和市场化程度对二者耦合协调度具有显著的直接效应,交通基础设施还具有显著的空间溢出效应,产业结构升级的作用尚不明显。提升区域高等教育和新型工业化耦合协调度既需要强化二者内部协作机制,也需要完善相应社会生态环境。

Based on the data of 2003—2012,higher education in all provinces of our country shows the growth trend and coupled coordination with new industrialization is optimized.But the coupled coordination degree of higher education and new industrialization in China still exist significant spatial imbalance.Province with moderate and severe imbalance is the majority.The internal influencing factors analysis shows that the university scientific research level and the college degree or above in the population of elder than 6years have the most significant influence on the new industrialization and the influence of the new industrialization is relatively balanced. Spatial measurement shows that population urbanization,transportation infrastructure and marketization have significant direct effects on the degree of coupled coordination in the spatial interaction,the transport infrastructure also has a significant spatial spillover effect,the role of industrial structure upgrade is not obvious.To promote the coupled coordination degree of higher education and new industrialization needs strengthen the internal coordination mechanism and improve the social ecological environment.