国内技术预见研究卓越机构及研究热点可视化描绘

The Visualization Describing of the Excellent Institutions and Study Focus on Technology Foresight Research in China

采用文献计量学方法和Citespace分析软件,以2001-2013年CNKI数据库收录的技术预见研究的期刊论文和学位论文为样本,对国内技术预见研究文献的整体趋势、核心研究机构及合作关系、核心研究者、研究热点等进行可视化展示,发现目前国内技术预见研究体量较小,核心期刊论文比例不大,以上海市科学学研究所和中国科学院为两大核心机构,缺乏大范围的合作,理论方法层面的研究强于产业实际应用层面的研究;国内技术预见的研究还处于成长状态。

Taking papers on technology foresight in China indexed by CNKI from 2001 to 2013 as samples, using bibliometric methods and Citespace analysis software, the paper tries to map out the overall trend of technology foresight in China, the core research institutions and its partnerships, the core researchers, the research hotspots, etc. The results show that in China, the study volumes and paper's proportion of core journals are small; the core institutions are Shanghai Institute for Science of Sciences and Chinese Academy of Sciences, and the large-scale cooperation has not been formed; the study on theoretical layer is stronger than on industrial application layer; the research on technology foresight is still in growth stage.