混凝土结构剩余寿命的预测

Prediction of the Remaining Life of Concrete Structures

基于不同的信息,提出现有混凝土结构剩余寿命预测的四种模型:回归预测模型、灰色预测模型、灰色改进模型和神经网络模型,决策者可根据自己的知识水平、所掌握的信息种类和数量等主客观条件来选用不同的模型进行预测分析和决策制定.为了说明模型的应用,最后分别针对各种模型给出了范例.

Based on different kinds of information, four models for predicting the remaining life of concrete structures are proposed in this paper, which are regression prediction model, grey prediction model, improved grey model and neural network model. Decision-makers can choose different models in terms of subjective and objective conditions, including knowledge level as well as the quantity and kinds of information mastered, to carry through prediction analysis and decision making. In order to illustrate the application of the models, exemplifications are given according to each model at the end of the paper.