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2017年的经济形势和2018年政策取向

Economic Situation in 2017 and Policy Orientation for 2018
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摘要 2017年,我国坚持稳中求进的工作总基调,以供给侧结构性改革为主线,适度扩大总需求,防范化解金融风险,国民经济运行总体平稳,结构不断优化,新动能加快成长,质量效益提高,预计全年经济增长6.8%左右,圆满完成经济发展预期目标。但产能过剩、房地产泡沫和地方政府隐性债务无序扩张等问题仍然存在,民营企业信心不强。2018年,建议把经济增长目标定为6.5%左右,将物价水平上升幅度控制在3%左右。继续坚持稳中求进的工作总基调,坚持质量第一、效益优先,以供给侧改革为主线,激发微观主体的活力,继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健中性的货币政策,强化金融监管,化解金融风险,不断夯实经济可持续发展的基础。 In 2017,China continues seeking progress while maintaining stability with the supply-side structural reform as the theme.It further expands the aggregate demand and prevents and mitigates financial risks.The overall national economy is stable.The economic structure continues to be optimized.The growth of new driving forces has accelerated.The annual economic growth is expected to be about 6.8%,which means the economic target will be achieved.However,problems such as overcapacity,the real estate bubble and the disorderly expansion of the hidden debts of local governments still exist,and privateowned enterprises have low confidence.In 2018,it is suggested that the target of economic growth should be set at 6.5% and the price should be controlled at around 3%.China should continue to seek progress while maintaining stability,give priority to quality and efficiency,carry out supply-side reforms,stimulate the vitality of microentities,implement proactive fiscal policy and prudent,neutral monetary policy,strengthen financial supervision,mitigate financial risks,and strengthen the foundation for the sustainability of economic development.
作者 祝宝良
机构地区 国家信息中心
出处 《开发性金融研究》 2017年第6期3-8,共6页 Development Finance Research
关键词 经济形势 金融风险 经济展望 宏观调控政策 Economic trends Financial risks Economic outlook Macrocontrol policy
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