城乡数字鸿沟预测模型构建及应用——以贵州为例

Urban-rural Digital Divide Prediction Model and its Application——Take Guizhou Province as an Example

本文主要以贵州城乡居民彩色电视、固定电话、移动电话和家用电脑的普及和应用为依据,通过统计分析,构建相应的预测模型,分析贵州城乡数字鸿沟的现状和未来发展趋势。结果显示,城乡数字鸿沟在逐渐缩小,但是差距依然巨大。

This paper mainly takes urban and rural residents in Guizhou color TV, phone, popularization and application of mobile phones and home computers as the basis, through statistical analysis, build the appropriate forecasting model to analyze the current situation of urban-rural digital divide, and future trends. The results showed that urban-rural digital divide is gradually narrowing, but the gap is still huge.